Opener
Royal
First song pressure based on opener history, gap, and recent rotation.
21.5% score3 show gap
Arcadia Atlasfan-made Goose live trackerunofficial fan data lab
Pre-Show
Next show prediction meter
This is the main product: the best available guesses for the next Goose show before it starts.
Serving cacheUpdated 5 minutes ago
Target show
Cal Coast Credit Union Amphitheater
San Diego, CA
Thursday, August 13, 2026 • 7:00 PM
Fan Cheat Sheet
Couch tour cheat sheet
Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM • San Diego, CA
Scheduled sync enabled
Fan Watch Board
Tonight's most useful calls
A tighter pre-show board for couch tour, venue checks, and Goose Points decisions.
Set 2 start
Big Modern!
Best call for the post-break launch slot.
32% score3 show gap
Encore
Give It Time
Late-show candidate with encore or closing-slot history.
34% score3 show gap
Jam watch
Arrow
Song with the strongest long-version profile tonight.
38.6% score4 show gap
Bustout radar
SALT
Highest-value gap watch among tonight's ranked calls.
20.4% score14 show gap
Core Watchlist
Top set-by-set songs to keep on the radar.
Past Predictions
Saved calls and what actually happened
Each checkbox is graded from the saved prediction board. Checked means the call hit; empty means it missed.
Sat, Jul 4
Albany Med Health System at SPAC, Saratoga Springs, NY, USA
Saratoga Springs, NY
2/454% hit
Fri, Jul 3
Albany Med Health System at SPAC, Saratoga Springs, NY, USA
Saratoga Springs, NY
2/454% hit
Thu, Jul 2
PNC Bank Arts Center, Holmdel, NJ, USA
Holmdel, NJ
1/452% hit
Wed, Jul 1
Leader Bank Pavilion, Boston, MA, USA
Boston, MA
1/452% hit
Tue, Jun 30
Leader Bank Pavilion, Boston, MA, USA
Boston, MA
2/454% hit
Show flow
Best opening-song guesses
Read this as a ranked pre-show watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact odds.
01
02
03
04
YetiTop call
Tracker score 17.1%
Why: has been missing for 9 shows • shows up early a lot • last seen Fri, Jun 26
05
Set 1 board
Likely Set 1 songs
Read this as a ranked pre-show watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact odds.
01
Hot Love & The Lazy PoetTop call
Tracker score 43.8%
Why: usually lands in Set 1 (100%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Thu, Jul 2
02
RoyalTop call
Tracker score 43.5%
Why: usually lands in Set 1 (100%) • shows up early a lot • last seen Wed, Jul 1
03
Silver RisingTop call
Tracker score 41.6%
Why: usually lands in Set 1 (85%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Tue, Jun 30
04
Give It TimeTop call
Tracker score 41.3%
Why: usually lands in Set 1 (60%) • has shown up late in shows before • last seen Wed, Jul 1
05
YetiTop call
Tracker score 40.3%
Why: usually lands in Set 1 (100%) • has been missing for 9 shows • shows up early a lot • last seen Fri, Jun 26
06
FlodownTop call
Tracker score 39.1%
Why: usually lands in Set 1 (100%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Wed, Jul 1
07
MEDIATop call
Tracker score 38.6%
Why: usually lands in Set 1 (91%) • shows up early a lot • last seen Fri, Jul 3
08
California MagicTop call
Tracker score 38.2%
Why: usually lands in Set 1 (100%) • has been missing for 17 shows • last seen Mon, Jun 15
Set 2 flow
Best second-set opener guesses
Read this as a ranked pre-show watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact odds.
01
Big Modern!Top call
Tracker score 32%
Why: opens the second set 36% of the time when it appears • fits the recent rotation • last seen Wed, Jul 1
02
Life Is a CarnivalTop call
Tracker score 30.9%
Why: opens the second set 100% of the time when it appears • has been missing for 47 shows • last seen Sat, Dec 13
03
HungersiteTop call
Tracker score 30.5%
Why: opens the second set 29% of the time when it appears • fits the recent rotation • last seen Thu, Jul 2
04
ArrowTop call
Tracker score 29.1%
Why: opens the second set 55% of the time when it appears • fits the recent rotation • last seen Tue, Jun 30
05
ThatchTop call
Tracker score 28.1%
Why: opens the second set 31% of the time when it appears • fits the recent rotation • last seen Fri, Jul 3
Set 2 board
Likely Set 2 songs
Read this as a ranked pre-show watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact odds.
01
Big Modern!Top call
Tracker score 44%
Why: usually lands in Set 2 (79%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Wed, Jul 1
02
ThatchTop call
Tracker score 41%
Why: usually lands in Set 2 (77%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Fri, Jul 3
03
MadhuvanTop call
Tracker score 39.8%
Why: usually lands in Set 2 (91%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Tue, Jun 30
04
So ReadyTop call
Tracker score 39.4%
Why: usually lands in Set 2 (69%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Fri, Jul 3
05
ArrowTop call
Tracker score 39.1%
Why: usually lands in Set 2 (91%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Tue, Jun 30
06
HungersiteTop call
Tracker score 37.3%
Why: usually lands in Set 2 (53%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Thu, Jul 2
07
CreaturesTop call
Tracker score 34.6%
Why: usually lands in Set 2 (67%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Wed, Jul 1
08
Good2BTop call
Tracker score 34.2%
Why: usually lands in Set 2 (89%) • fits the recent rotation • last seen Fri, Jul 3
Late swing
Encore watch
Read this as a ranked pre-show watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact odds.
01
02
SALTTop call
Tracker score 20.4%
Why: has been missing for 14 shows • has shown up late in shows before • last seen Sat, Jun 20
03
How It EndsIn the mix
Tracker score 9.7%
Why: has been missing for 8 shows • has shown up late in shows before • last seen Fri, Jun 26
04
05
Baby Don't You Do ItLonger shot
Tracker score 6.9%
Why: has been missing for 9 shows • has shown up late in shows before • last seen Fri, Jun 26
15+ / 20+
Long-jam watch
Read this as a ranked pre-show watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact odds.
01
ArrowTop call
Tracker score 38.6%
Why: has a 20+ jam history in 75% of tracked versions • fits the recent rotation • last seen Tue, Jun 30
02
Rosewood HeartTop call
Tracker score 37.9%
Why: has a 20+ jam history in 100% of tracked versions • has been missing for 7 shows • last seen Sat, Jun 27
03
ThatchTop call
Tracker score 35%
Why: has a 20+ jam history in 50% of tracked versions • fits the recent rotation • last seen Fri, Jul 3
04
Big Modern!Top call
Tracker score 33.8%
Why: has a 20+ jam history in 40% of tracked versions • fits the recent rotation • last seen Wed, Jul 1
05
Into the MystTop call
Tracker score 30.2%
Why: has a 20+ jam history in 67% of tracked versions • fits the recent rotation • last seen Tue, Jun 30
06
CreaturesTop call
Tracker score 47%
Why: has a 15+ jam history in 100% of tracked versions • fits the recent rotation • last seen Wed, Jul 1
Live Monitor
Current set pulse
No live or recent setlist is available yet.
Model Health
Backtest loop
Avg hits @122.54
Avg recall @1223%
Recent hits @123.6
Unique songs seen163
The current model is a lightweight online learner. It scores each song against recency, venue/state history, tour fit, and placement bias, then retrains as new actual setlists arrive.
Official upcoming shows pulled from Goose's Seated tour widget.
Historical and live setlists pulled from setlist.fm public pages.
Track-length and jam stats enriched from Goose's Bandcamp live recordings when a recording matches the show.
Preserved 65 cached completed setlists because the latest setlist detail refresh returned fewer song details than expected.
Tracker state is persisted in Postgres for production deployments.
Stats Board
Show and catalog analytics
tracked shows65
avg show length187m
avg tracked song length13:23
avg songs / show11.9
jam 15+ rate35%
cover song rate23%
Goose Points
Predict It meter
Checking your Goose Points account...
Show Stats
Recent show breakdowns
Sat, Jul 4
Albany Med Health System at SPAC, Saratoga Springs, NY, USA
Saratoga Springs, NY
12 songs200m5 jams 15+
show times 7:55 PM to 11:15 PM
main break est. 9:39 PM to 10:00 PM
show opener SOS • show closer U.S. Blues
longest tracked song Animal • 28:09
15+ minute jams SOS • All I Need • Animal
Fri, Jul 3
Albany Med Health System at SPAC, Saratoga Springs, NY, USA
Saratoga Springs, NY
13 songs181m6 jams 15+
show start 7:45 PM
show opener Echo of a Rose • show closer So Ready
longest tracked song Thatch • 21:22
15+ minute jams Echo of a Rose • Dustin Hoffman • The Empress of Organos
Thu, Jul 2
PNC Bank Arts Center, Holmdel, NJ, USA
Holmdel, NJ
12 songs200m4 jams 15+
show times 7:40 PM to 11:00 PM
main break est. 9:12 PM to 9:29 PM
show opener Rockdale • show closer Arcadia
longest tracked song Hot Tea • 21:26
15+ minute jams Rockdale • Pancakes • Hot Tea
Wed, Jul 1
Leader Bank Pavilion, Boston, MA, USA
Boston, MA
13 songs200m3 jams 15+
show times 7:40 PM to 11:00 PM
main break est. 9:07 PM to 9:31 PM
show opener Iguana Song • show closer Give It Time
longest tracked song Big Modern! • 25:53
15+ minute jams Wysteria Lane • Big Modern! • Creatures
Tue, Jun 30
Leader Bank Pavilion, Boston, MA, USA
Boston, MA
13 songs210m6 jams 15+
show times 7:30 PM to 11:00 PM
main break est. 9:03 PM to 9:27 PM
show opener Animal • show closer Silver Rising
longest tracked song Arrow • 22:06
15+ minute jams Animal • Earthling or Alien? • Everything Must Go
Sun, Jun 28
Merriweather Post Pavilion, Columbia, MD, USA
Columbia, MD
12 songs186m3 jams 15+
show start 7:25 PM
show opener Bear • show closer Dripfield
longest tracked song Arcadia • 27:20
15+ minute jams Bear • Arcadia • Hungersite
Song Atlas
Search songs by runtime, slot, gap, jam rate, and pairings
showing 18 of 163 matching songs
Song profile
Hungersite
31% next-show
avg length17:41
avg gap2.9 shows
slot#7.5
main setSet 2:
appears 26%opens 6%show closes 6%jam 15+ 67%
Common show partners
Give It Time (8) • Hot Love & The Lazy Poet (6) • Arcadia (6) • Dripfield (6)
Common same-set partners
Hot Tea (3) • Give It Time (3) • Madalena (3) • Animal (3)
longest tracked 23:10 • last played Thu, Jul 2
Song profile
Give It Time
34% next-show
avg length8:32
avg gap3.4 shows
slot#8.5
main setSet
appears 23%opens 0%show closes 47%jam 15+ 0%
Common show partners
Hungersite (8) • Thatch (5) • Big Modern! (5) • Hot Tea (4)
Common same-set partners
Hot Tea (3) • Animal (3) • Hungersite (3) • Big Modern! (3)
longest tracked 10:50 • last played Wed, Jul 1
Song profile
Animal
15 plays
avg length15:59
avg gap3.6 shows
slot#5.1
main setSet 1:
appears 23%opens 33%show closes 0%jam 15+ 40%
Common show partners
All I Need (6) • So Ready (6) • Your Direction (5) • Creatures (5)
Common same-set partners
Your Direction (5) • Atlas Dogs (4) • Give It Time (3) • Madalena (3)
longest tracked 28:09 • last played Sat, Jul 4
Song profile
Big Modern!
30% next-show
avg length21:03
avg gap3.5 shows
slot#7.9
main setSet 2:
appears 22%opens 7%show closes 0%jam 15+ 100%
Common show partners
Rockdale (6) • Wysteria Lane (5) • Hot Tea (5) • Dustin Hoffman (5)
Common same-set partners
Pancakes (3) • Give It Time (3) • Fish in the Sea (2) • Madhuvan (2)
longest tracked 26:20 • last played Wed, Jul 1
Song profile
So Ready
28% next-show
avg length15:26
avg gap3.9 shows
slot#8.9
main setSet 2:
appears 20%opens 0%show closes 15%jam 15+ 50%
Common show partners
Silver Rising (6) • Animal (6) • Royal (5) • Creatures (5)
Common same-set partners
Creatures (4) • Feel It Now (2) • Thatch (2) • Borne (2)
longest tracked 20:54 • last played Fri, Jul 3
Song profile
Thatch
27% next-show
avg length18:20
avg gap4.2 shows
slot#8.8
main setSet 2:
appears 20%opens 8%show closes 8%jam 15+ 75%
Common show partners
Give It Time (5) • Echo of a Rose (5) • Hot Love & The Lazy Poet (5) • Flodown (4)
Common same-set partners
Hungersite (3) • Good2B (3) • Arrow (2) • Travelers (2)
longest tracked 27:07 • last played Fri, Jul 3
Song profile
Silver Rising
25% next-show
avg length9:58
avg gap3.8 shows
slot#5.8
main setSet 1:
appears 20%opens 8%show closes 15%jam 15+ 0%
Common show partners
So Ready (6) • Creatures (5) • Wysteria Lane (4) • Dr. Darkness (4)
Common same-set partners
Hot Love & The Lazy Poet (3) • Yeti (3) • Mas que nada (2) • California Magic (2)
longest tracked 10:41 • last played Tue, Jun 30
Song profile
Dripfield
13 plays
avg length17:27
avg gap3.8 shows
slot#10.5
main setSet 2:
appears 20%opens 0%show closes 23%jam 15+ 50%
Common show partners
Royal (6) • Hungersite (6) • So Ready (5) • Madalena (5)
Common same-set partners
Madhuvan (4) • Arrow (3) • Hungersite (3) • Burn the Witch (3)
longest tracked 24:52 • last played Sat, Jul 4
Song profile
Creatures
22% next-show
avg length19:50
avg gap4.4 shows
slot#6.9
main setSet 2:
appears 18%opens 0%show closes 0%jam 15+ 100%
Common show partners
Animal (5) • Silver Rising (5) • So Ready (5) • Royal (4)
Common same-set partners
So Ready (4) • Slow Ready (3) • Animal (2) • Your Direction (2)
longest tracked 27:14 • last played Wed, Jul 1
Song profile
Hot Love & The Lazy Poet
22% next-show
avg length9:31
avg gap4.6 shows
slot#3.7
main setSet 1:
appears 18%opens 17%show closes 0%jam 15+ 0%
Common show partners
Hungersite (6) • Thatch (5) • All I Need (4) • Red Bird (4)
Common same-set partners
All I Need (4) • Royal (4) • Madalena (3) • Flodown (3)
longest tracked 14:00 • last played Thu, Jul 2
Song profile
Royal
22% next-show
avg length13:03
avg gap4.4 shows
slot#2
main setSet 1:
appears 18%opens 33%show closes 0%jam 15+ 25%
Common same-set partners
Madalena (5) • Hot Love & The Lazy Poet (4) • Flodown (3) • Animal (2)
longest tracked 19:12 • last played Wed, Jul 1
Song profile
Dustin Hoffman
12 plays
avg length16:02
avg gap4.3 shows
slot#4.1
main setSet 1:
appears 18%opens 0%show closes 0%jam 15+ 50%
Common show partners
Pancakes (5) • Big Modern! (5) • Your Direction (5) • MEDIA (4)
Common same-set partners
Your Direction (5) • MEDIA (4) • Atlas Dogs (3) • Animal (3)
longest tracked 18:19 • last played Fri, Jul 3
Song profile
Madhuvan
20% next-show
avg length18:59
avg gap5 shows
slot#11.1
main setSet 2:
appears 17%opens 0%show closes 18%jam 15+ 100%
Common show partners
Give It Time (4) • Madalena (4) • Animal (4) • Dripfield (4)
Common same-set partners
Dripfield (4) • Into the Myst (3) • Arrow (3) • Hungersite (2)
longest tracked 21:23 • last played Tue, Jun 30
Song profile
Arrow
19% next-show
avg length22:21
avg gap4.9 shows
slot#8.3
main setSet 2:
appears 17%opens 9%show closes 9%jam 15+ 100%
Common show partners
MEDIA (4) • Slow Ready (4) • Hot Tea (4) • Rockdale (3)
longest tracked 27:32 • last played Tue, Jun 30
Song profile
Hot Tea
11 plays
avg length16:33
avg gap5.2 shows
slot#7.1
main setSet 2:
appears 17%opens 27%show closes 9%jam 15+ 75%
Common show partners
Big Modern! (5) • Give It Time (4) • Madalena (4) • MEDIA (4)
Common same-set partners
Give It Time (3) • Hungersite (3) • Hot Love & The Lazy Poet (2) • Madalena (2)
longest tracked 21:26 • last played Thu, Jul 2
Song profile
MEDIA
11 plays
avg length9:35
avg gap5.2 shows
slot#3.1
main setSet 1:
appears 17%opens 36%show closes 0%jam 15+ 0%
Common show partners
A Western Sun (5) • Rockdale (5) • Arrow (4) • Tumble (4)
Common same-set partners
Rockdale (4) • Dustin Hoffman (4) • A Western Sun (3) • Atlas Dogs (2)
longest tracked 14:10 • last played Fri, Jul 3
Song profile
Rockdale
11 plays
avg length14:09
avg gap5.1 shows
slot#6.7
main setSet 1:
appears 17%opens 18%show closes 27%jam 15+ 50%
Common show partners
Big Modern! (6) • MEDIA (5) • SALT (4) • Seekers on the Ridge pt. I (4)
Common same-set partners
MEDIA (4) • Atlas Dogs (3) • A Western Sun (2) • Draconian Meter Maid (2)
longest tracked 17:13 • last played Thu, Jul 2
Song profile
Tumble
11 plays
avg length19:35
avg gap5.3 shows
slot#10.1
main setSet 2:
appears 17%opens 0%show closes 18%jam 15+ 100%
Common show partners
Draconian Meter Maid (5) • SOS (5) • MEDIA (4) • Iguana Song (4)
Common same-set partners
Don't Leave Me This Way (3) • Hungersite (2) • Slow Ready (2) • Big Modern! (2)
longest tracked 23:30 • last played Sat, Jul 4