Arcadia Atlas lockup
unofficial fan project

Live Set Intelligence

Track the set in motion. Study the patterns behind it.

Arcadia Atlas follows Goose in real time, scores the next-show possibilities, and maps the weird details that fans actually care about: jam probability, opener pressure, slot habits, song gaps, pairings, and show flow.

Fresh dataUpdated 6 minutes ago12 shows with track runtimes

Official dates come from Goose's tour widget. Setlists are tracked from setlist.fm and runtimes are enriched from Goose's Bandcamp recordings when a matching show exists.

Next official show

War Memorial Auditorium

Fort Lauderdale, FL

Scheduled sync enabledOfficial source

Live Monitor

Current set pulse

War Memorial AuditoriumFort LauderdaleTue, Apr 14

No songs posted yet. Tracker is waiting for the setlist to start moving.

Waiting for the first song to land.
Open source setlist

Model Health

Backtest loop

Avg hits @122.79
Avg recall @1222%
Recent hits @122.6
Unique songs seen124

The current model is a lightweight online learner. It scores each song against recency, venue/state history, tour fit, and placement bias, then retrains as new actual setlists arrive.

Official upcoming shows pulled from Goose's Seated tour widget.

Historical and live setlists pulled from setlist.fm public pages.

Track-length and jam stats enriched from Goose's Bandcamp live recordings when a recording matches the show.

Tracker state is persisted in Postgres for production deployments.

Stats Board

Show and catalog analytics

tracked shows22
avg show length174m
avg tracked song length11:58
avg songs / show13.2
jam 15+ rate28%
cover song rate23%

Primary board

Most worth watching tonight

Read this as a ranked watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact gambling odds.

01
HungersiteTop call

Model score 33%

Why: fits the recent rotation • last seen Sat, Apr 11

02
Give It TimeTop call

Model score 32%

Why: has shown up late in shows before • last seen Sat, Apr 11

03
Big Modern!Top call

Model score 31.5%

Why: fits the recent rotation • last seen Fri, Apr 10

04
ArrowTop call

Model score 21.4%

Why: fits the recent rotation • last seen Sat, Apr 11

05
Hot TeaTop call

Model score 21.2%

Why: shows up early a lot • last seen Sat, Mar 28

06

Model score 19.5%

Why: has been missing for 5 shows • last seen Fri, Dec 12

07
MadhuvanTop call

Model score 19.1%

Why: fits the recent rotation • last seen Sat, Apr 11

08
DripfieldTop call

Model score 19.1%

Why: fits the recent rotation • last seen Sat, Apr 11

09
AnimalTop call

Model score 18.8%

Why: fits the recent rotation • last seen Fri, Apr 10

10
SALTTop call

Model score 16.8%

Why: has been missing for 7 shows • has shown up late in shows before • last seen Sun, Nov 2

12
FlodownTop call

Model score 16.3%

Why: fits the recent rotation • last seen Sat, Mar 28

Show flow

Best opening-song guesses

Read this as a ranked watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact gambling odds.

01
Hot TeaTop call

Model score 21.2%

Why: shows up early a lot • last seen Sat, Mar 28

02
MEDIAVery live

Model score 12.9%

Why: shows up early a lot • last seen Fri, Apr 10

03
RoyalVery live

Model score 12.7%

Why: shows up early a lot • last seen Sat, Apr 11

04
PancakesLonger shot

Model score 7.7%

Why: shows up early a lot • last seen Fri, Apr 10

05
Dr. DarknessLonger shot

Model score 5.4%

Why: has been missing for 12 shows • shows up early a lot • last seen Tue, Sep 30

Set endings

Best closing-song guesses

Read this as a ranked watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact gambling odds.

01
AtlasLonger shot

Model score 5.8%

Why: has been missing for 20 shows • last seen Sun, Sep 14

02
TravelersLonger shot

Model score 5.8%

Why: has been missing for 20 shows • last seen Sun, Sep 14

03
Mas que nadaLonger shot

Model score 5.6%

Why: has been missing for 18 shows • last seen Fri, Sep 19

04
Electric AvenueLonger shot

Model score 5.6%

Why: has been missing for 18 shows • last seen Fri, Sep 19

05
ElizabethLonger shot

Model score 3.7%

Why: has been missing for 18 shows • shows up early a lot • last seen Fri, Sep 19

Late swing

Encore watch and longer shots

Read this as a ranked watchlist. Songs near the top are the tracker's strongest calls for tonight, not exact gambling odds.

01
Give It TimeTop call

Model score 32%

Why: has shown up late in shows before • last seen Sat, Apr 11

02
SALTTop call

Model score 16.8%

Why: has been missing for 7 shows • has shown up late in shows before • last seen Sun, Nov 2

03

Model score 12.3%

Why: has shown up late in shows before • last seen Sat, Mar 28

04
RockdaleIn the mix

Model score 11.6%

Why: has shown up late in shows before • last seen Fri, Apr 10

05
TumbleIn the mix

Model score 11.1%

Why: has been missing for 6 shows • has shown up late in shows before • last seen Mon, Dec 8

Goose Points

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Show Stats

Recent show breakdowns

Song Atlas

Search songs by runtime, slot, gap, jam rate, and pairings

showing 18 of 124 matching songs