Arcadia AtlasArcadia Atlasfan-made Goose live tracker

Prediction Results

Goose setlist prediction: Firefly Distillery, North Charleston, SC, USA

Tuesday, June 23, 2026 / North Charleston, SC, USA

3 of 12 saved song predictions were played. The original pre-show board and every miss remain visible.

All prediction resultsActual setlist pageSource setlist
3/12predicted songs played25% hit rate

12-Song Prediction

Which predicted songs were played

Green rows were played. Every missed prediction remains visible so the saved board can be judged honestly.

3/12songs played / 25%
02

Thatch

Top song call / 26.4% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
03

Hot Tea

Top song call / 23.3% model score

often opens
Not played
04

Creatures

Top song call / 23.3% model score

5-show gap
Played
06

Arrow

Top song call / 21.6% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
07

Tumble

Top song call / 19.8% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
08

MEDIA

Top song call / 17.9% model score

often opens
Not played
09

Big Modern!

Top song call / 17.5% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
10

Echo of a Rose

Top song call / 17.1% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
11

Atlas Dogs

Top song call / 17% model score

5-show gap
Not played
12

Royal

Top song call / 16.9% model score

often opens
Played
Special callsOpener, closer, set, encore, and jam predictions33 calls

These calls are graded against the specific role shown on each row.

01

Hot Tea

Opener / 23.3% model score

often opens
Not played
02

MEDIA

Opener / 17.9% model score

often opens
Not played
03

Royal

Opener / 16.9% model score

often opens
Not played
04

Arrow

Set 2 opener / 31.2% model score

opens Set 2 on 56% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
05

Life Is a Carnival

Set 2 opener / 29.5% model score

opens Set 2 on 100% of tracked plays / 31-show gap
Not played
06

Thatch

Set 2 opener / 24.6% model score

opens Set 2 on 20% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
07

Atlas

Show closer / 2.1% model score

47-show gap
Not played
08

Elizabeth

Show closer / 1.4% model score

45-show gap / often opens
Not played
09

Inside Out

Show closer / 2.1% model score

43-show gap
Not played
10

Silver Rising

Set 1 song / 47.4% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / 7-show gap
Not played
11

Hot Love & The Lazy Poet

Set 1 song / 44.7% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
12

Royal

Set 1 song / 40.1% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / often opens
Played
13

Flodown

Set 1 song / 38.1% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / 5-show gap
Not played
14

MEDIA

Set 1 song / 37.8% model score

lands in Set 1 on 89% of tracked plays / often opens
Not played
15

All I Need

Set 1 song / 37.6% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / 12-show gap
Not played
16

Arrow

Set 2 song / 40.5% model score

lands in Set 2 on 89% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
17

Tumble

Set 2 song / 39.2% model score

lands in Set 2 on 89% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
18

Thatch

Set 2 song / 38.6% model score

lands in Set 2 on 70% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
19

Big Modern!

Set 2 song / 35.6% model score

lands in Set 2 on 82% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
20

Creatures

Set 2 song / 33.5% model score

lands in Set 2 on 60% of tracked plays / 5-show gap
Played
21

White Lights

Set 2 song / 31.6% model score

lands in Set 2 on 100% of tracked plays / 8-show gap
Not played
22

Rockdale

Encore / 15.8% model score

encore history
Not played
23

SALT

Encore / 11% model score

encore history
Not played
25

Arrow

20+ jam / 37.5% model score

goes 20+ in 67% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
26

Good2B

20+ jam / 27.9% model score

goes 20+ in 67% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
27

Big Modern!

20+ jam / 26.4% model score

goes 20+ in 43% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
28

Arrow

15+ jam / 46.7% model score

goes 15+ in 100% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
29

Big Modern!

15+ jam / 43.9% model score

goes 15+ in 100% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
30

Hot Tea

15+ jam / 42.4% model score

goes 15+ in 83% of tracked versions / often opens
Not played
31

Atlas

Gap call / 2.1% model score

47-show gap
Played
32

Elizabeth

Gap call / 1.4% model score

45-show gap / often opens
Not played
33

Inside Out

Gap call / 2.1% model score

43-show gap
Played
Goose Setlist Prediction Results: Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at Firefly Distillery, North Charleston, SC, USA | Arcadia Atlas