Arcadia AtlasArcadia Atlasfan-made Goose band tracker

Prediction Results

Goose setlist prediction: Grand Theatre Grand Sierra Resort, Reno, NV, USA

Sunday, August 16, 2026 / Reno, NV, USA

2 of 12 saved song predictions were played. The original pre-show board and every miss remain visible.

All prediction resultsActual setlist pageSource setlist
2/12predicted songs played17% hit rate

12-Song Prediction

Which predicted songs were played

Green rows were played. Every missed prediction remains visible so the saved board can be judged honestly.

2/12songs played / 17%
01

Hungersite

Top song call / 37.2% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
02

Give It Time

Top song call / 30.3% model score

6-show gap / encore history
Not played
03

So Ready

Top song call / 26.8% model score

model confidence from recent history
Played
04

Dripfield

Top song call / 26.3% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
05

Big Modern!

Top song call / 22.4% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
06

Slow Ready

Top song call / 20.5% model score

8-show gap
Not played
07

Thatch

Top song call / 19.5% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
08

Tumble

Top song call / 19.5% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
09

Royal

Top song call / 19% model score

6-show gap / often opens
Played
10

Silver Rising

Top song call / 18.3% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
11

Creatures

Top song call / 16.9% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
12

Dustin Hoffman

Top song call / 16.9% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
Special callsOpener, closer, set, encore, and jam predictions33 calls

These calls are graded against the specific role shown on each row.

01

Royal

Opener / 19% model score

6-show gap / often opens
Played
02

Animal

Opener / 14.7% model score

often opens
Not played
03

MEDIA

Opener / 13.9% model score

often opens
Not played
04

Hungersite

Set 2 opener / 36.1% model score

opens Set 2 on 33% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
05

Life Is a Carnival

Set 2 opener / 29.1% model score

opens Set 2 on 100% of tracked plays / 50-show gap
Not played
06

Big Modern!

Set 2 opener / 27.3% model score

opens Set 2 on 40% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
10

Royal

Set 1 song / 41.7% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / 6-show gap / often opens
Played
11

Dustin Hoffman

Set 1 song / 40.2% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
12

Hungersite

Set 1 song / 39.1% model score

lands in Set 1 on 44% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
13

Give It Time

Set 1 song / 38.6% model score

lands in Set 1 on 60% of tracked plays / 6-show gap / encore history
Not played
14

Silver Rising

Set 1 song / 37.2% model score

lands in Set 1 on 86% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
15

Yeti

Set 1 song / 36.6% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / 12-show gap / often opens
Not played
16

Hungersite

Set 2 song / 42.5% model score

lands in Set 2 on 56% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
17

Dripfield

Set 2 song / 40.5% model score

lands in Set 2 on 77% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
18

Tumble

Set 2 song / 39.5% model score

lands in Set 2 on 91% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
19

So Ready

Set 2 song / 38.6% model score

lands in Set 2 on 69% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Played
20

Big Modern!

Set 2 song / 38.5% model score

lands in Set 2 on 80% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
21

Thatch

Set 2 song / 36.2% model score

lands in Set 2 on 79% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
22

Give It Time

Encore / 30.3% model score

6-show gap / encore history
Not played
23

Arcadia

Encore / 16.1% model score

5-show gap / encore history
Not played
24

SALT

Encore / 11.4% model score

17-show gap / encore history
Not played
25

Rosewood Heart

20+ jam / 39.3% model score

goes 20+ in 100% of tracked versions / 10-show gap
Not played
26

Dripfield

20+ jam / 38.1% model score

goes 20+ in 60% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
27

Arrow

20+ jam / 35.8% model score

goes 20+ in 75% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
28

Big Modern!

15+ jam / 47.2% model score

goes 15+ in 100% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
29

Tumble

15+ jam / 45.2% model score

goes 15+ in 100% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
30

Hungersite

15+ jam / 44.5% model score

goes 15+ in 60% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played