Arcadia AtlasArcadia Atlasfan-made Goose band tracker

Prediction Results

Goose setlist prediction: Hayden Homes Amphitheater, Bend, OR, USA

Friday, August 21, 2026 / Bend, OR, USA

4 of 12 saved song predictions were played. The original pre-show board and every miss remain visible.

All prediction resultsActual setlist pageSource setlist
4/12predicted songs played33% hit rate

12-Song Prediction

Which predicted songs were played

Green rows were played. Every missed prediction remains visible so the saved board can be judged honestly.

4/12songs played / 33%
01

Hungersite

Top song call / 37.2% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
02

Big Modern!

Top song call / 34.8% model score

5-show gap
Not played
04

Royal

Top song call / 30% model score

often opens
Not played
05

Silver Rising

Top song call / 29.5% model score

5-show gap
Not played
06

Arcadia

Top song call / 28.2% model score

8-show gap / encore history
Played
07

Madhuvan

Top song call / 26.3% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
08

Dripfield

Top song call / 25.2% model score

6-show gap
Played
09

Arrow

Top song call / 24.4% model score

model confidence from recent history
Played
10

Hot Tea

Top song call / 24.2% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
11

Wysteria Lane

Top song call / 22.5% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
12

Atlas Dogs

Top song call / 21.9% model score

model confidence from recent history
Not played
Special callsOpener, closer, set, encore, and jam predictions33 calls

These calls are graded against the specific role shown on each row.

01

Royal

Opener / 30% model score

often opens
Not played
02

Yeti

Opener / 17% model score

often opens
Not played
03

Dr. Darkness

Opener / 15% model score

10-show gap / often opens
Not played
04

Big Modern!

Set 2 opener / 36.3% model score

opens Set 2 on 40% of tracked plays / 5-show gap
Not played
05

Hungersite

Set 2 opener / 36% model score

opens Set 2 on 33% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
06

Arrow

Set 2 opener / 31.6% model score

opens Set 2 on 50% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
10

Hot Love & The Lazy Poet

Set 1 song / 51.6% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Played
11

Royal

Set 1 song / 49.6% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / often opens
Not played
12

Silver Rising

Set 1 song / 45.3% model score

lands in Set 1 on 86% of tracked plays / 5-show gap
Not played
13

Draconian Meter Maid

Set 1 song / 43.2% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / 9-show gap
Not played
14

Madalena

Set 1 song / 42.9% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Played
15

Flodown

Set 1 song / 41.7% model score

lands in Set 1 on 100% of tracked plays / 5-show gap
Played
16

Big Modern!

Set 2 song / 47.5% model score

lands in Set 2 on 80% of tracked plays / 5-show gap
Not played
17

Madhuvan

Set 2 song / 44.7% model score

lands in Set 2 on 92% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
18

Hungersite

Set 2 song / 42.5% model score

lands in Set 2 on 56% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
19

Arrow

Set 2 song / 40.8% model score

lands in Set 2 on 83% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Played
20

Dripfield

Set 2 song / 39.7% model score

lands in Set 2 on 77% of tracked plays / 6-show gap
Played
21

So Ready

Set 2 song / 34.9% model score

lands in Set 2 on 71% of tracked plays / model confidence from recent history
Not played
22

Arcadia

Encore / 28.2% model score

8-show gap / encore history
Played
23

Give It Time

Encore / 12.2% model score

encore history
Not played
25

Arrow

20+ jam / 42.1% model score

goes 20+ in 75% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Played
26

Dripfield

20+ jam / 37.4% model score

goes 20+ in 60% of tracked versions / 6-show gap
Played
27

Madhuvan

20+ jam / 34.6% model score

goes 20+ in 50% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
28

Big Modern!

15+ jam / 55.7% model score

goes 15+ in 100% of tracked versions / 5-show gap
Not played
29

Madhuvan

15+ jam / 49.9% model score

goes 15+ in 100% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Not played
30

Arrow

15+ jam / 48.6% model score

goes 15+ in 100% of tracked versions / model confidence from recent history
Played